Most exiting farmers in New England may have no one to take over the farm, new study shows

Editor’s Note: See where this got picked up in the news in over 40 articles at landforgood.org/press.

After farming their Fairfax land for more than 25 years, Walter and Diane Berthiaume decided to conserve the property and find new farmers to buy the farm. (courtesy of Vermont Land Trust)

Nearly 30% of New England’s farmers are likely to exit farming in the next 10+ years, and 9 out of 10 of them are farming without a young farmer alongside. This is according to new analysis of U.S. Census of Agriculture data that was part of a study released today by American Farmland Trust (AFT) and Land For Good (LFG). The year-long “Gaining Insights, Gaining Access” study—that also included farmer focus groups—sheds new light on what will be needed to facilitate the transition of farms and farmland in New England to a next generation of farmers. At no point is a farm’s future more at risk than during this transition.

92% of New England’s 10,369 senior farmers do not have a farm operator under age 45 working with them. While this does not mean that these farmers don’t have a succession plan, it suggests that the future of many of these farms is uncertain.

“It was a real wake-up call to see how few farmers age 65+ have a next generation working on the farm with them. How and to whom this land and farm infrastructure transfers will have an enormous impact on the future of farming in New England.”

Cris Coffin, Policy Director for Land For Good, who directed the study

Based on focus groups with farmers, the study documents that older farmers are concerned about retirement; especially those farmers without a next generation farmer or owner to take over. Farmers are also unsure about how to find a younger farmer who can afford to buy their land. Many also want help to make sound transfer agreements.

According to the study, 30% of New England’s farmers are likely to exit farming over the next 10-20 years.

“The 1.4 million acres they manage and $6.45 billion in land and agricultural infrastructure they own will change hands in one way or another. To keep this land and infrastructure in farming as it transitions, we will need better policy tools and increased support services to exiting and entering farmers.”

Cris Coffin

State statistics:  Maine statistics  New Hampshire statistics  Vermont statistics Massachusetts statistics  Connecticut statistics  Rhode Island statistics

Using Census of Agriculture data (2002, 2007 and 2012), the AFT-LFG study looked at characteristics of farmers in New York and the six New England states, and at both ends of the experience spectrum—those at or beyond retirement age, and those young or new to farming. In all seven states, AFT and LFG conducted focus groups of older farmers who self-identified as having no farm successor. The goal was to learn more about what these farmers are farming and with whom, their vision of retirement, and what challenges they see for the future.

Some senior farmers may have a plan for their farm’s future,” said Jesse Robertson-DuBois, New England Director for American Farmland Trust. “But we learned through this study that many do not. A large number of older farmers are worried about their ability to retire and to find a younger farmer who can afford to buy their land.”

Luckily for Jamie and Dawn Blodgett, the Berthiaumes decided to sell their farm through Vermont Land Trust’s Farmland Access program. (courtesy of Vermont Land Trust)

Older farmers who participated in the focus groups all want to see their land remain in farming, though most see financing and future economic viability for younger farmers as an obstacle. Farmers identified their needs for help to navigate the complex process of choosing the right succession strategy and finding a suitable successor. Many also want technical assistance on specific aspects of farm succession and transfer.

As a surprising finding, a significant majority of beginning farmers are also not young: 62% of New England’s beginning farmers are 45 or older. Comparing beginners age 45+ to beginners under age 45, on average older beginners farm slightly less acreage (63 acres compared to 73) and generated less in agricultural sales in 2012 ($23,000 compared to $37,000). The average net farm income for older beginners in 2012 was negative, at –$7,000; for younger beginners, it was a positive $5,000. These findings also have important implications for services and policies needed for beginning farmers.

Additional information about the study and a profile of findings from each state can be found on the American Farmland Trust and Land For Good websites, at www.farmland.org/gaininginsights or www.landforgood.org/insights.

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Read more about Gaining Insights, Gaining Access study and findings.

State Statistics

Maine Statistics

In Maine, farmers age 65 and older operate 29% of the state’s farms. Of these 2,367 senior farmers, just 8% of them have someone under age 45 managing the farm with them. The study also found that Maine had 17% fewer young (under 45) farm operators in 2012 than in 2002. Farmers age 65 and older manage 527,000 acres and own a collective $1 billion in land and agricultural infrastructure, much of which may transfer ownership in the next 10-20 years.
Read full Maine report.  

New Hampshire Statistics

In New Hampshire, farmers age 65 and older operate 30% of the state’s farms. Of these 1,338 senior farmers, just 6% of them have someone under age 45 managing the farm with them. The study also found that New Hampshire had 15% fewer young (under 45) farm operators in 2012 than in 2002. Farmers age 65 and older manage 158,000 acres and own a collective $628 million in land and agricultural infrastructure, much of which may transfer ownership in the next 10-20 years.
Read full New Hampshire report. 

Vermont Statistics

In Vermont, farmers age 65 and older operate 28% of the state’s farms. Of these 2,076 senior farmers, just 9% of them have someone under age 45 managing the farm with them. The study also found that Vermont had 19% fewer young (under age 45) farm operators in 2012 than in 2002. Farmers age 65 and older manage 363,600 acres and own a collective $1.2 billion in land and agricultural infrastructure, much of which may transfer ownership in the next 10-20 years.
Read full Vermont report. 

Massachusetts Statistics

In Massachusetts, farmers age 65 and older operate 30% of the state’s farms. Of these 2,333 senior farmers, just 8% of them have someone under age 45 managing the farm with them. The study also found that Massachusetts had 16% fewer young (under 45) farm operators in 2012 than in 2002. Farmers age 65 and older manage 184,000 acres and own a collective $1.8 billion in land and agricultural infrastructure, much of which may transfer ownership in the next 10-20 years.
Read full Massachusetts report. 

Connecticut Statistics

In Connecticut, farmers age 65 and older operate 32% of the state’s farms. Of these 1,892 senior farmers, just 7% of them have someone under age 45 managing the farm with them. The study also found that Connecticut had 10% fewer young (under 45) farm operators  in 2012 than in 2002. Farmers age 65 and older manage 137,000 acres and own a collective $1.6 billion in land and agricultural infrastructure, much of which may transfer ownership in the next 10-20 years.
Read full Connecticut report. 

Rhode Island Statistics

In Rhode Island, farmers age 65 and older operate 29% of the state’s farms. Of these 363 senior farmers, just 11% of them have someone under age 45 managing the farm with them. The study also found that Rhode Island had a 13% increase in young (under 45) farm operators since 2002, the only state in New England with a net growth in young farmers since 2002. Farmers age 65 and older manage 21,700 acres and own a collective $310 million in land and agricultural infrastructure, much of which may transfer ownership in the next 10-20 years.
Read full Rhode Island report.

American Farmland Trust is the only national conservation organization dedicated to protecting farmland, promoting sound farming practices and keeping farmers on the land. Since 1980 American Farmland Trust has helped to permanently protect more than five million acres of farm and ranch land. Learn more at www.farmland.org.

Land For Good has helped hundreds of farmers and farm families find innovative solutions that keep their farms in farming and provide a meaningful legacy. Land For Good works throughout New England to help farmers access and transfer farms and farmland. Farm transfer is a critical issue for thousands of farm families in New England and nationally. Learn more at www.landforgood.org.

Land For Good is a leading organization specialized in farmland access, tenure and transfer – and they are on the ground in all New England states. Since 2004, Land For Good has helped hundreds of farmers and farm families find innovative solutions that keep their farms in farming and provide a meaningful legacy. Learn more at www.landforgood.org.

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